Seloger and Meilleurs Agents forecast a continued rise in France real estate prices through 2026. Explore what this upward trend means for homebuyers and investors in the French property market.
France Real Estate Prices Set to Rise in 2026: Trends, Forecasts, and Market Insights
France’s housing market is showing clear signs of recovery, with experts predicting a continued rise in residential real estate prices through 2025 and into 2026. Seloger and Meilleurs Agents, two leading French property platforms, expect the end of the recent price drop and even greater dynamism ahead—good news for both buyers and investors looking at the #France real estate prices forecast.
Timid Recovery but Promising Outlook
While the recovery in France’s property market remains cautious, it is gaining momentum. In 2025, home sales are expected to reach approximately 925,000 transactions, up 8% from 2024. If seasonal patterns hold strong, the market could even approach one million property deals, according to Thomas Lefebvre, Vice-President, Data at Seloger and Meilleurs Agents. By 2026, forecasts point to 960,000 transactions—a clear signal that the slowdown of recent years is ending.
End of the Price Dip
After three consecutive years of declining prices, the tide is turning. As of 2025, France’s real estate prices have risen by nearly 1% over the past 12 months, with continued growth forecast between +1% and +2% for the coming year. This increasing trend is now apparent in many major cities:
- Bordeaux: +3.6% year-on-year (to September 2025)
- Lyon: +2.5% year-on-year
- Paris: +2.3% year-on-year
Some cities, such as Rennes, are still seeing price corrections following rapid increases between 2015 and 2022, demonstrating varying trends across regions.
Borrowing Rates: The Main Brake on the Market
A major factor restraining the market’s recovery is mortgage rates, which have not dropped as much as expected. While many had hoped rates would fall below 3% by summer 2025, they remain at around 3.3% for loans over 20 to 25 years. Ongoing budget and political uncertainties have contributed to a recent rise in 10-year OAT yields, now at 3.6%, their highest since March.
This environment has created psychological hesitation among buyers, many of whom are waiting for more significant rate reductions. Nonetheless, Meilleurs Agents anticipates rates will not exceed 3.5% and banks continue to support borrowers with flexible lending criteria, thanks to the high savings levels of French households.
Looking to 2026: More Growth Ahead
All indicators suggest that France’s property market will not only recover but continue to grow. Seloger and Meilleurs Agents forecast a further price increase between +2% and +3% in 2026, with nearly one million transactions expected. Banks remain active and competitive, signaling continued support for residential buyers.
Rental Investment: A Sector to Watch
While rental investment is currently modest—with only 10-15% of transactions attributed to landlords—this could change dramatically if new tax incentives are introduced as early as 2026. Should the government create an official tax status for private landlords, rental investment could become significantly more attractive in the coming years.
The Bottom Line
The French real estate market is poised for price growth in 2025 and 2026, driven by rising transaction volumes, supportive banks, and resilient demand despite stable borrowing rates. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, existing homeowner, or investor, understanding these trends is key to making informed decisions in a changing market.
